Condal vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TIN
2 - 4
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CON
1 - 3
CAY
41%
27%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CAY
1 - 0
CON
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAJ
3 - 0
CON
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
COX
4 - 1
ACF
62%
22%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ACF
1 - 0
RCF
20%
25%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RMC
0 - 0
ACF
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ACF
1 - 4
MIR
9%
22%
69%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
ACF
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |