Concordia Lausanne vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
16º
9º
34
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 6
CON
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
BBB
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
CON
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 8
OLD
29%
20%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
CON
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 2
FCB
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
LIE
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 0
LIE
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
BBB
44%
21%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
3 - 0
LIE
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |