Concordia Lausanne vs FC Monthey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
15º
55
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 87.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VEV
7 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
CON
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
FCA
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 8
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
COL
2 - 3
CON
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
3 - 2
GRA
71%
15%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 2
FCM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 3
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
CSC
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEC
5 - 2
FCM
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |