Concordia Hamburg vs VfL Herzlake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
WER
0 - 0
COH
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
COH
0 - 0
SRF
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
STP
0 - 0
COH
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
COH
0 - 2
HAM
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
COH
2 - 1
WSV
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
HER
4 - 1
ADF
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
WER
6 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
HER
0 - 2
HAN
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
HER
3 - 1
EBT
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
WSV
1 - 1
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |