Concordia Hamburg vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
ADF
4 - 0
COH
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COH
0 - 5
HAN
17%
25%
59%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
OSN
2 - 0
COH
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
COH
4 - 0
ALT
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +5 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
ISC
1 - 1
COH
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SVL
1 - 3
WER
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SRF
3 - 2
SVL
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
WSV
1 - 0
SVL
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 4
EIN
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |