Concordia Hamburg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
HAM
3 - 2
COH
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
COH
2 - 2
HAM
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
SUL
2 - 0
COH
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 0
COH
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
COH
2 - 0
BAY
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
ERK
0 - 3
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
ERK
4 - 2
USO
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
ISC
4 - 0
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
VFB
3 - 1
ERK
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
ERK
1 - 1
TEN
48%
27%
24%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |