Concordia Elblag vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LOM
0 - 0
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
LWA
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
LTM
1 - 3
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
WLO
10%
18%
72%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
1 - 1
WLO
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MLP
1 - 1
UWA
10%
21%
69%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 1
SWI
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
1 - 1
UWA
47%
28%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
1 - 2
SOK
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |