Concordia Elblag vs Huragan Morag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LKS
2 - 1
CON
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
JAG
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RWM
3 - 1
CON
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
HWP
63%
20%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UWA
0 - 2
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 0
WLO
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MLP
0 - 5
HUR
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
SWI
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
1 - 1
HUR
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 1
SOK
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |