Concórdia vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 2
CRI
12%
23%
65%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAX
25%
31%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 1
CAM
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 0
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
NES
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |