Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
CAC
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
TUB
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
COT
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |