Concórdia vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FFL
4 - 1
CAC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAC
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CFC
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCA
3 - 1
CFC
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |