Concórdia vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CHA
7%
15%
78%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
AVA
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
BRU
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 2
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
BRU
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |