Concordia Basel vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
CON
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
LAC
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
CON
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
BAU
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CON
4 - 0
YVE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
YFJ
1 - 2
LOC
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NEX
0 - 1
YFJ
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
YFJ
0 - 1
CHI
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LAU
3 - 0
YFJ
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SER
4 - 3
YFJ
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | -1 |