Concordia Basel vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
WIN
3 - 0
CON
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
WOH
3 - 1
CON
29%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
WOH
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
BAD
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
CON
0 - 1
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
WIN
3 - 0
CON
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 2
KRI
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 0
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
LAU
1 - 2
WIN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
WIN
3 - 2
WOH
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |