Concordia Basel vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CON
5 - 3
YVE
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
YVE
2 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 0
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
BEL
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
WOH
1 - 2
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
4 - 3
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 0
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
YVE
0 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIN
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |