Concordia Basel vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
9º
6º
32
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCW
2 - 0
CON
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
MUN
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
MUT
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
RTK
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WOH
0 - 2
CON
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 1
THU
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 3
BLA
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
THU
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THU
3 - 3
MUT
41%
22%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RTK
2 - 0
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |