Concordia Basel vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
12º
3º
19
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 50 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 50 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 43 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 40 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 40 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 36 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
CON
14%
20%
67%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
DIE
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CON
6 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VEV
2 - 1
SCH
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
VEV
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
SIO
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
SCH
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |