Concordia Basel vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
8º
4º
49
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
BAS
69%
16%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
CON
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
RTK
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
CON
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
LAN
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 4
FCL
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
DEL
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
SCH
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |