Concordia Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 0
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
LAU
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 0
CON
63%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CON
0 - 4
LAC
66%
19%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 3
YOB
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 2
NEX
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |