Concordia Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 3
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CON
3 - 4
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
LAC
2 - 1
CON
43%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
WOH
2 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 0
STA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
LUG
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BIE
0 - 3
LUG
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |