Concordia Basel vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 0
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 0
CON
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CON
2 - 2
FCV
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LAU
3 - 0
CON
67%
19%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
SIO
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 1
SIO
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
KUS
1 - 2
LOC
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 2
LOC
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LOC
1 - 0
CON
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WOH
5 - 0
LOC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |