Concordia Basel vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 0
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
KRI
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 4
MUN
28%
24%
49%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 4
WAN
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ZUG
7 - 1
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 3
BLA
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
69%
17%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 2
FCS
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
YOU
1 - 2
FCS
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |