Concordia Basel vs FC Prishtina Bern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
15º
6º
26
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
CON
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
FCC
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HON
0 - 3
CON
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
3 - 2
CON
44%
22%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
5 - 0
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Prishtina Bern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 3
BAS
61%
20%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
FCP
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 2
FCP
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 2
LAN
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCP
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |