Concordia Basel vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YOU
3 - 1
CON
49%
22%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
2 - 0
CON
44%
23%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
THU
0 - 1
CON
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 3
ZOF
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCG
0 - 1
CON
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 1
BLA
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
8 - 0
FCG
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 1
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 0
FCG
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCG
0 - 1
CON
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |