Concordia Basel vs FC Courtetelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
15º
6º
18
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HON
0 - 3
CON
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MUT
3 - 2
CON
44%
22%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
5 - 0
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THU
2 - 2
CON
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Courtetelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
MUN
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAN
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |