Concordia Basel vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
0 - 8
CON
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
55 | 14 | 41 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LYS
1 - 6
CON
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
5 - 4
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 5
CON
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 3
LIE
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 4
HER
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 1
COL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
ALL
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 0
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |