Concordia Basel vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
SIO
1 - 0
CON
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
LAU
26%
24%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCV
1 - 1
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CON
4 - 2
MEY
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
BAD
0 - 0
KRI
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
WOH
1 - 1
BAD
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BAD
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BAD
2 - 4
BAU
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
YFJ
3 - 0
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |