Concordia Basel vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
WOH
0 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CON
5 - 0
BAU
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
KRI
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DEL
1 - 3
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 3
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BUL
2 - 0
BAD
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 2
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAD
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
FCV
5 - 2
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |