Concordia Basel vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CON
2 - 3
NEX
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BAD
1 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FCV
3 - 3
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CON
1 - 3
FCV
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
CON
3 - 2
YVE
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FCH
3 - 1
BAD
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BAD
1 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAD
3 - 2
DEL
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
DEL
4 - 3
BAD
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |