Concordia Basel vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CON
5 - 0
BAU
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
KRI
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DEL
1 - 3
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CON
3 - 3
DEL
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
MEY
1 - 0
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
BUL
2 - 4
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 3
BUL
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BUL
3 - 1
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |