Concord Rangers vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BOR
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WEA
1 - 0
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BOR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SHO
1 - 2
FAR
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
HAY
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EBB
3 - 0
FAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 4
GOS
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |