Concord Rangers vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OXF
2 - 0
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
BEA
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
WHI
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STA
2 - 0
CON
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TOW
2 - 2
DOV
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DOV
1 - 4
SAL
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DOV
0 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 2
DOV
67%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALD
2 - 0
DOV
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |