Concord Rangers vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 1
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 4
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
RUS
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 4
HEM
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GOS
0 - 6
CHM
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 1
WEA
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 5
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 3
DAR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |