Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-4
Concepción vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 0
OHI
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
CON
3 - 0
JWI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CON
3 - 2
SLO
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 2
TAC
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 1
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |