Concepción vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
NUB
19%
21%
61%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
MAG
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CON
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
UCH
1 - 2
CSD
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 3
UCH
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UCH
3 - 2
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |