Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-1
Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SAU
2 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
GVE
25%
27%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
IBE
4 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SWA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 0
OHI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 3
CDM
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |