Concepción vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
CON
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CON
3 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
COQ
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |