Concepción vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
CON
1 - 1
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
COB
1 - 2
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
3 - 2
IND
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
CEN
0 - 3
SLO
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
3 - 1
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 0
JWI
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 2
SLO
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |