Concepción vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
10º
29
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GVE
1 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
ROD
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 0
CON
69%
18%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
LIM
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
GVE
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JOA
2 - 1
DLI
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
TRA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 2
JOA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 2
JOA
47%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |