Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CON
5 - 2
NUB
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CSD
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
CON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 0
CON
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
DCO
37%
29%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
EVE
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COB
2 - 3
PUE
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IBE
2 - 1
PUE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 1
DLS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
PUE
41%
26%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |