Copa Chile Last 16
Global 0-8
Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SAU
2 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
PAL
22%
22%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
UCH
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |