Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
CSD
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HUA
3 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 2
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
2 - 4
PAL
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |