Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
UCH
12%
19%
70%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
NUB
19%
21%
61%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
4 - 2
UCH
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 3
DEP
61%
20%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NUB
2 - 4
ACS
27%
24%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 1
NUB
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 3
UCH
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |