Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 2
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCH
2 - 1
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
COQ
3 - 1
CON
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NUB
2 - 0
CDP
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NUB
0 - 0
UCH
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CSD
0 - 0
NUB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 2
NUB
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 4
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |