Concepción vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 3
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CSD
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 1
CSD
29%
27%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
NTA
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CDP
2 - 1
NTA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 1
NTA
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |