Concepción vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 3
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 2
CSD
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 3
NTA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NTA
2 - 4
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
NTA
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |