Concepción vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
LOT
2 - 2
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CUR
4 - 1
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CON
4 - 0
NEM
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 3
CSD
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
COQ
2 - 3
MAG
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
BAR
42%
24%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MAG
2 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAG
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |