Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSD
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
DEP
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
IBE
3 - 1
CON
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CUR
0 - 1
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LOT
1 - 1
IBE
27%
26%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOT
0 - 4
CUR
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
CSD
0 - 3
LOT
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LOT
1 - 1
DEP
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |