Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAG
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 1
LOT
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
USF
16%
26%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
LOT
71%
18%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |