Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CON
3 - 1
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ULC
1 - 2
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
PAL
31%
25%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
IQU
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 2
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CUR
4 - 0
LOT
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 4
ANT
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
0 - 1
ULC
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
IQU
3 - 2
LOT
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |